Buy Gold Now, Before the Stampede

If you want to know how to play the currency wars from this southern pacific outpost, look no further than our own global expert on the matter, Jim Rickards. Jim literally wrote the book on this topic and is the editor of Strategic Intelligence.

In his latest issue, he gives his subscribers an interesting way to play the currency war. I won’t give the actual investment recommendation away, but you will get the gist of it.

In the issue, Jim tells about a meeting he had with one of the largest refiners of gold in Switzerland. To preserve his identity, he calls him ‘Goldfinger’.

According to ‘Goldfinger’, the supply of physical gold remains scarce. While he says there is increasing amount of scrap gold coming from Southeast Asia (due to the economic slowdown there),

On the other hand, good delivery bars were becoming scarcer. Vaults in London — such as the vault holding gold for the GLD exchange traded fund — were being stripped bare. Goldfinger knew this because each LBMA good delivery bar is stamped with the name of the refinery that produced it, and the date it was produced.

Bars are generally stored in a vault on a ‘last-in-first-out’ basis. Newer bars are removed first. The older bars — some with dates from the 1980s — are not moved out until the vault is almost empty. Goldfinger was now seeing more of those older bars come in for refining.

He told me he had recently returned from the Middle Kingdom where he had visited Chinese refineries and gold mines. His tour was somewhat restricted by Chinese Communist officials but, as a prominent gold executive himself, he was able to see far more than most outsiders.

He said Chinese gold demand was insatiable. The Chinese were buying over 450 tonnes of gold produced from their own mines each year, while importing approximately 1,400 tonnes of gold on top of this. Meanwhile, Chinese gold exports were zero.

Jim’s message? Buy gold before the buying panic sets in.

Greg Canavan,

For Markets and Money


Greg Canavan is a Contributing Editor at Markets & Money and Head of Research at Port Phillip Publishing. He advocates a counter-intuitive investment philosophy based on the old adage that ‘ignorance is bliss’. Greg says that investing in the ‘Information Age’ means you now have all the information you need. But is it really useful? Much of it is noise, and serves to confuse rather than inform investors. And, through the process of confirmation bias, you tend to sift the information that you agree with. As a result, you reinforce your biases. This gives you the impression that you know what is going on. But really, you don’t know. No one does. The world is far too complex to understand. When you accept this, your newfound ignorance becomes a formidable investment weapon. That’s because you’re not a slave to your emotions and biases. Greg puts this philosophy into action as the Editor of Crisis & Opportunity. He sees opportunities in crises. To find the opportunities, he uses a process called the ‘Fusion Method’, which combines charting analysis with more conventional valuation analysis. Charting is important because it contains no opinions or emotions. Combine that with traditional stock analysis, and you have a robust stock selection strategy. With Greg’s help, you can implement a long-term wealth-building strategy into your financial planning, be better prepared for the financial challenges ahead, and stop making the same mistakes that most private investors do every time they buy a stock. To find out more about Greg’s investing style and his financial worldview, take out a free subscription to Markets & Money here. And to discover more about Greg’s ‘ignorance is bliss’ investment strategy and the Fusion Method of investing, take out a 30-day trial to his value investing service Crisis & Opportunity here. Official websites and financial e-letters Greg writes for:

 


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