Greece Is Once Again a Victim of Democracy

Greece Is Once Again a Victim of Democracy

And then democracy comes into being after the poor have conquered their opponents, slaughtering some and banishing some, while to the remainder they give an equal share of freedom and power.

Socrates, Plato’s The Republic

A snowstorm battered the East Coast of the US today. Politics rocked southern Europe.

Sitting here on the edge of the beach, overlooking the Pacific Ocean, a gentle breeze stirring the trees…birds singing…surfers carrying their boards across the sand…

…it’s hard to imagine the tempest in North America, let alone the swirling clouds over the Parthenon. The radical left-wing Syriza coalition party won in Greece.

Once again, Greece is a victim of democracy.

Austerity? What austerity?

What this means, exactly, is anybody’s guess. The Wall Street Journal struggled:

Within minutes of the close of the polls, Germany’s powerful central-bank chief, Jens Weidmann, pushed back.

“It is clear that Greece will remain dependent on support and it’s also clear that this aid will be provided only when it is in an aid program,” he said in an interview with television broadcaster ARD.

A message on British Prime Minister David Cameron’s usual Twitter account, meanwhile, warned that the Greek result will “increase economic uncertainty across Europe.”

Increased uncertainty is a good bet.

Meanwhile, the papers reported that Europe’s apparatchiks were working overtime to accommodate the new government so as to keep the system functioning. Also reported was that Greek voters were fed up with ‘austerity’.

As to the first bit of news we have no doubt. All the powers-that-be don’t want to become the powers-that-used-to-be. They’ll do whatever it takes to hold on to their authority.

It’s the second bit of news that makes us say, ‘Huh?’

Not that we haven’t heard it before. The Greeks…the Spaniards…the Italians…the Portuguese…the French — they’re all supposed to be tired of ‘austerity’.

But what austerity?

According to our sources, the Greek government currently spends 59% of GDP — a figure even higher than in France.

Like France, Greece has plenty of civil servants enjoying a cushy life at taxpayer expense. And in the private sector, too, the cronies get their favours, privileges and tax breaks…while as much as half of tax revenue goes uncollected.

Which is probably a good thing. Were it not for the black market, and tax evasion, the Greek economy would probably fall apart.

Elsewhere it is reported that 45% of GDP is collected by the Greek government. The difference between collecting 45% and spending 59% is apparently the source of the problem.

But we’re not sure. All of the numbers we see are a little fishy.

Clever legerdemain

It was thanks to fishy numbers that Greece was admitted to the EU in the first place.

The European Union insists on a certain standard of financial integrity, or it won’t let you in. (Fearing that it might have to bail you out later.)

Greece managed to get in thanks to the clever legerdemain of Goldman Sachs, which disguised some of the nation’s debts.

Then, with no more fear of getting paid back in Greece’s dodgy drachma, lenders were happy to open their wallets to Greek borrowers.

Government debt increased from 100% of GDP as recently as 2006 to 177% this year.

Spend, spend, spend. Pensions. Health care. Education. And why not guns, too?

Greece is even one of the biggest military spenders (as a percentage of GDP) in NATO.

This is austerity?

Real austerity is what you get when you spend no more than you make…minus what you need to pay to service yesteryear’s excess spending.

Real austerity is what you get when lenders wise up, realize you’ll never pay them back, and don’t lend you any more money.

Real austerity is what you have when the Germans say nein to any more financial support.

Real austerity is not what the Greeks have. And not what Greek voters voted against.

It’s what they need.

Austerity is what we all need.

Regards,

Bill Bonner,
for Markets and Money

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Bill Bonner

Bill Bonner

Since founding Agora Inc. in 1979, Bill Bonner has found success and garnered camaraderie in numerous communities and industries. A man of many talents, his entrepreneurial savvy, unique writings, philanthropic undertakings, and preservationist activities have all been recognized and awarded by some of America's most respected authorities.

Along with Addison Wiggin, his friend and colleague, Bill has written two New York Times best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. Both works have been critically acclaimed internationally. With political journalist Lila Rajiva, he wrote his third New York Times best-selling book, Mobs, Messiahs and Markets, which offers concrete advice on how to avoid the public spectacle of modern finance. Since 1999, Bill has been a daily contributor and the driving force behind Markets and MoneyDice Have No Memory: Big Bets & Bad Economics from Paris to the Pampas, the newest book from Bill Bonner, is the definitive compendium of Bill's daily reckonings from more than a decade: 1999-2010. 

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