Why iiNet’s Share Price Fell Today

What Happened to iiNet’s Share Price?

Shares in Telecommunications company iiNet [ASX:IIN] fell nearly 11% today. After years of outperforming the market, IiiNet has had a rough last few months. The share price peaked in December 2014 at around $8.50, but after today’s falls is now trading around $6.40. That’s a decline of nearly 25%.

Why Did This Happen to IIN Shares?

IIN released half-yearly profit results today, and the market was disappointed with the lack of growth. While subscriber growth for the period was good, net profits grew just 1%. It looks like the market is in the process of de-rating IIN from a growth stock to a more mature company. After all, it’s now challenging Optus to be the second largest internet services provider in Australia. At that size, your growth rate will naturally slow.

What Now for iiNET?

Due to strong subscriber growth, iiNet is now investing in the business to manage that growth, which means costs will probably increase at a higher than normal rate. There is nothing wrong with the business, but its growth trajectory will likely slow from now on. The market now realises this and the share price falls since last year are a reflection of that.

The recent falls mean the share price is now in a solid downtrend. While a short term share price bounce is possible, the odds are that the downtrend will continue for some time.

Regards,

Greg Canavan+
for Markets and Money

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Greg Canavan is a Contributing Editor at Markets & Money and Head of Research at Port Phillip Publishing. He advocates a counter-intuitive investment philosophy based on the old adage that ‘ignorance is bliss’. Greg says that investing in the ‘Information Age’ means you now have all the information you need. But is it really useful? Much of it is noise, and serves to confuse rather than inform investors. And, through the process of confirmation bias, you tend to sift the information that you agree with. As a result, you reinforce your biases. This gives you the impression that you know what is going on. But really, you don’t know. No one does. The world is far too complex to understand. When you accept this, your newfound ignorance becomes a formidable investment weapon. That’s because you’re not a slave to your emotions and biases. Greg puts this philosophy into action as the Editor of Crisis & Opportunity. He sees opportunities in crises. To find the opportunities, he uses a process called the ‘Fusion Method’, which combines charting analysis with more conventional valuation analysis. Charting is important because it contains no opinions or emotions. Combine that with traditional stock analysis, and you have a robust stock selection strategy. With Greg’s help, you can implement a long-term wealth-building strategy into your financial planning, be better prepared for the financial challenges ahead, and stop making the same mistakes that most private investors do every time they buy a stock. To find out more about Greg’s investing style and his financial worldview, take out a free subscription to Markets & Money here. And to discover more about Greg’s ‘ignorance is bliss’ investment strategy and the Fusion Method of investing, take out a 30-day trial to his value investing service Crisis & Opportunity here. Official websites and financial e-letters Greg writes for:

 


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