Onboard the TransCanada Railroad

Have you people ever run a train before?

Sarcasm seemed appropriate. It wasn’t plainly crass or vulgar. Just mildly insulting.

The book we were later given on the train explained that the VIA Rail Canada — Canada’s passenger rail system — was inspired by Amtrak in the US.

This is a little like getting on a cruise line that said it drew inspiration from the Titanic.

O Canada

By then we hardly needed any explanation. Our tickets said we were to be in Prestige Class for the journey from Toronto to Vancouver.

But there was nothing prestigious about the way we were handled.

After waiting 10 hours to board, we were invited to drag our bags along a quarter mile of platform to get to the prestige car.

By the time we got there, we expected to be asked to bend over so the staff could whack us with a board.

The train — scheduled to leave at 10 pm on Saturday night — did not push off until 9am the following day. We had gotten a call advising us get to the station ‘no later than 6pm’ so we wouldn’t miss it!

We fulfilled our part of the deal. Alas, the Canuck Amtrak failed. Rescheduled for 7am, it was then rescheduled again for 7:30am…and then 8am…

The train got in late to the station. Then we had to wait to find a new engineer,’ was the word we got when we asked about it.

People have been running trains for a long time,’ we began a lecture.

There is nothing unpredictable about it. A train is a big object. You should know where it is. Then it’s a simple matter to compute when it will arrive. You know — distance divided by speed…

We felt an elbow. It was Elizabeth telling us to knock it off.

Tempted to feel sorry for ourselves, instead we said a prayer for the poor economy-class travelers. They would probably be chained to their seats and whipped with barbed wire.

But now we are rolling along. Too bad about the Wi-Fi — it doesn’t work. Nor does the mini-fridge. And the train has been backing up as much as it has been going forward.

But, heck, the staff are friendly…and the scenery is magnificent.

Beaten down and despised

Word comes this morning that Greek banks have reopened.

Bank customers have been separated from their money for three weeks. Even now, they are allowed only brief conjugal visits. They may take out only up to €420 ($456) a week.

The Greek stock market has reopened, too. But without Wi-Fi, we have not been able to get an update.

Greek stocks, as you might imagine, have gotten beaten harder than a traveler on the Canadian train system.

They are down as much as 95% from their 2007 high. The average stock listed in Athens sells for a little more than two times earnings. Many sell for barely a single year’s cash flow.

It’s not for us to know at what price Greek stocks should trade. But the Greeks have been around a long time. They’re probably not going away. And neither are the companies headquartered there.

And some of the biggest payoffs in the investment world have come from putting money into places no one else wanted to go.

It’s the beaten down, despised, sad sack of a market that has the greatest potential: It has nowhere to go but up.

If you had invested in the Turkish stock market in 1988, for example, today your investment would show a 1,188,047% gain.

Every dollar invested, in other words, would be worth more than $11,000.

Back in 1988, Argentina was a mess, too. If you had put your money there, you’d have a 39,297,300% gain. Had you invested $10,000, you’d now have $392,973,000.

More drama to come

But the drama isn’t over in Greece.

Poor Alexis Tsipras is stuck. On the one side is the hard place: Many in his coalition government are refusing to go along with the deal he just made. Heads are rolling as a result.

On the other side are the rocks of Northern Europe — especially Germany. And they are proving treacherous, too.

Tsipras’s Syriza government could be history in a few weeks. There’ll be new elections…more negotiations…more cans…more kicks…and more absurdities.

It is amazing how much nonsense is published on the subject. The mainstream press has turned it into a simpleton’s version of the kids’ movie A Bug’s Life — a struggle between Greek grasshoppers and German ants.

Readers are expected to take sides — either for the poor Greeks or against them. Most economists — most prominently Paul Krugman and Thomas Piketty — weigh in on the side of the Greeks.

They urge Germany to give the grasshoppers a break — more time…more money…and more rope.

They believe Northern European ‘austerity’ has doomed the Greek economy to an endless depression.

But the whole show is silly. The Greeks aren’t going to start acting like ants. They aren’t going to pay back old loans…or new ones.

And lending more money to people who already owe more than they can ever hope to repay is never going to help an ailing economy.


Bill Bonner,

For Markets and Money, Australia

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Since founding Agora Inc. in 1979, Bill Bonner has found success and garnered camaraderie in numerous communities and industries. A man of many talents, his entrepreneurial savvy, unique writings, philanthropic undertakings, and preservationist activities have all been recognized and awarded by some of America’s most respected authorities. Along with Addison Wiggin, his friend and colleague, Bill has written two New York Times best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. Both works have been critically acclaimed internationally. With political journalist Lila Rajiva, he wrote his third New York Times best-selling book, Mobs, Messiahs and Markets, which offers concrete advice on how to avoid the public spectacle of modern finance. Since 1999, Bill has been a daily contributor and the driving force behind Markets and Money.

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