Roadkill Headlines

Let’s begin by feasting, like a vulture (many thanks to the Dear Reader who suggested it in today’s mailbag), on this morning’s roadkill headlines:

Bloomberg: ‘Government Shutdown Begins’

CNBC: ‘Dow Closes Down 1,030 Points’

The New York Times: ‘Republicans Learn to Love Deficit Spending’

CNN: ‘Rand Paul Calls Out Hypocrisy of GOP Deficit Hike’

Headlines of the future

As for the stock plunge, the mainstream press is coming around to our point of view: interest rates are going up; stocks are going down.

Reports Bloomberg:

U.S. stocks plunged on concern that rising interest rates will drag down economic growth.

U.S. stocks fell to two-month lows after a nine-day swoon, erasing their gains for the year. Thursday’s 3.8% loss took the S&P 500 Index’s decline since its January 26 record past 10%, meeting the accepted definition of a correction. The Dow plunged more than 1,000 points.

We get the news no sooner than anyone else. Many times, we’ve tried to guess what tomorrow’s news will bring. We have done enough tests to know that either it can’t be done reliably…or we are no good at it.

But that doesn’t stop us from trying.

Herewith, for what it is worth, we look at the headlines for the months ahead.

Note that any similarity between these headlines and actual events is purely coincidental:

15 February 2018 — The Wall Street Journal: ‘Stocks Recover Their Footing; Dow Up 637 Points’

20 February 2018 — Bloomberg: ‘Global Slide in Equity Prices Resumes’

28 February 2018 — Financial Times: ‘Investors Pull Record Amount from Stock ETFs’

1 March 1 2018 — The Washington Post: ‘Dow Drops Below 20,000; Trump Blames Democrats for Inaction’

5 April 2018 — Trump Tweet: ‘I warned about this. Obama’s big fat bubble is exploding. Democrats need to pass my infrastructure program for America’s crumbling bridges and roadways. FAST!’

10 April 2018 — Barron’s: ‘Q1 GDP Growth Weaker than Expected – Economy at Stall Speed’

14 April 2018 — The Wall Street Journal: ‘Dow Crash Triggers Circuit Breakers; Robo-Traders Blamed’

16 April 2018 — The Washington Post: ‘Schumer to Fed: Time to Change Course’ 

17 April 2018 — The New York Times: ‘“This is no time for politics,” says Paul Krugman’

18 April 2018 — Associated Press: ‘“Fed Chairman Powell Needs Courage to Act,” says Bernanke’

27 April 2018 — Bloomberg: ‘Market Wrap – Dow Sinks Below 16,000 as Foreign Investors Pull Out’

5 May 2018 — The Wall Street Journal: ‘Help Wanted Ads at Lowest Level Since 2008’

6 May 2018 — CNN: ‘Dow Erases Last 5 Years’ Gain; Closes Below 14,000’

6 May 2018 — The Wall Street Journal: ‘Fed Cuts Interest Rates, Cites Data’

8 May 2018 — CNBC: ‘Revised Numbers for Q1 Show Economy Shrinking at Faster Pace Than First Reported’

9 May 2018 — The Wall Street Journal: ‘Powell Has Little Room for Maneuver, Say Fed Watchers; Should Have Tightened Sooner, Critics Charge’

10 May 2018 — The Washington Post: ‘Fast Track Promised for Trump’s Infrastructure Program’

20 May 2018 — The New York Times: ‘Extra $30 Billion Promised for “Shovel-Ready” Wall. Will Create Jobs, Say Republicans’

3 June 2018 — Barron’s: ‘House Prices Down 15% From 2017, Still Falling’

15 June 2018 — The Washington Post: ‘Trump Economic Advisors Propose Sweeping Relief Program, Labeled “Make America Great Again”’

18 June 2018 — Trump Tweet: ‘Give All American Taxpayers a One-Time Tax Credit. $1,000 for Every Taxpayer. Finally, a break for the middle class!’

22 June 2018 — Trump Tweet: ‘Time for Republicans and Democrats to get behind my plan. We need an extra $2 trillion of investment in education, police, and military. Put people back to work. #MAGA’

1 July 2018 — The Wall Street Journal: ‘Trump Tacks 30% Tariff on Wide Range of Imports; Global Trade Falls Further’

2 July 2018 — Trump Tweet: ‘Americans need JOBS! Exporting jobs overseas is treason. We need to protect American workers.

3 July 2018 — The Wall Street Journal: ‘Negative GDP Readings for Q2, U.S. Enters Recession’

3 July 2018 — The Washington Post: ‘Downturn Puts Millions Out of Work, Jobless Rate Crosses 8%’

3 July 2018 — Trump Tweet: ‘No more stalling. Dems need to pass MAGA bill. Americans need relief. And they need it NOW!!

4 July 2018 — The Washington Post: ‘Military Parade Brings Out Trump’s Base; “Just like North Korea,” Say Critics’

5 July 2018 — Financial Times: ‘Bipartisan Bailout Package Prepared for Major U.S. Banks and Corporations’

6 July 2018 — Financial Times: ‘Deficit Soars to Over $2 trillion. Dow, Treasurys, dollar sink further.’

7 July 2018 — The Diary: ‘Told You So’

Regards,

Bill Bonner,
For Markets & Money


Since founding Agora Inc. in 1979, Bill Bonner has found success and garnered camaraderie in numerous communities and industries. A man of many talents, his entrepreneurial savvy, unique writings, philanthropic undertakings, and preservationist activities have all been recognized and awarded by some of America’s most respected authorities. Along with Addison Wiggin, his friend and colleague, Bill has written two New York Times best-selling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. Both works have been critically acclaimed internationally. With political journalist Lila Rajiva, he wrote his third New York Times best-selling book, Mobs, Messiahs and Markets, which offers concrete advice on how to avoid the public spectacle of modern finance. Since 1999, Bill has been a daily contributor and the driving force behind Markets and Money.


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