These Fund Managers Want to Be Like You

From 1957–69, the world’s greatest investor had the best run of his life.

He made money and beat the Dow Jones every year.

In the end, Warren Buffett’s returns would’ve turned $50,000 into almost $1.4 million.

Had investors put the same in the Dow Jones, they would have received less than a tenth of this sum.

Buffett Investment Chart 21-02-2018


Source: Columbia Business School
[Click to enlarge]

Then again, this probably isn’t that surprising. Buffett is a stock-picking genius. Why wouldn’t he be able to turn thousands into millions?

Yet what you might not know is how Buffett achieved the best investment run of his career. He didn’t do it by investing in the huge blue chips and waiting decades for significant returns.

For a long time, he specialised in dumpster diving. He would buy small- and micro-cap stocks that traded at heavy discounts.

Then, as a catalyst caused the share price to spike, he sold out for huge gains in a relatively short time.

Now it seems droves of fund managers are trying to do the same thing.

Let me explain how this will create opportunities for individual investors like you…

The size of your investment matters

Size will affect your performance.

Need proof?

Imagine investing $100 million. This is a mind-boggling sum. Trying to find enough options to invest such an amount is hard enough as is.

But try only investing this $100 million in extremely attractive investments — a calibre that doesn’t come along that often.

It’s a pretty tall order.

Size also dictates what you can and can’t invest in.

For example, you can’t invest in microcap stocks if you want to be close to fully invested with $100 million. The volume traded on such small stocks simply isn’t large enough for you to buy and sell meaningful amounts.

It’s why you’ll see many large investors restricted to the biggest stocks on the market. And it’s there, at the top end of the market, that they’ll put millions to work.

You can probably guess how this might limit potential returns. The big money managers, because of their size, have to buy large blue chips. Those large stocks have limited growth prospects to begin with.

Check out what Buffett famously said about size (with my emphasis):

If I was running $1 million today, or $10 million for that matter, I’d be fully invested. Anyone who says that size does not hurt investment performance is selling. 

The highest rates of return I’ve ever achieved were in the 1950s. I killed the Dow. You ought to see the numbers (which you saw above). But I was investing peanuts then.

It’s a huge structural advantage not to have a lot of moneyI think I could make you 50% a year on $1 million. No, I know I could. I guarantee that.

 

You can bet there are plenty of fund managers dreaming of that annual 50% return.

It’s why Lennox Capital is the latest to set up their own microcap fund.

They’ve joined many other funds dabbling in the small end of the market, including Eley Griffiths, Perennial Value, Wilson Asset Management and Bennelong Australian Equities Partners.

As reported by the Australian Financial Review:

Lennox Capital’s new fund starts life with $10 million seed capital and is fully invested.

Its inaugural investments include stakes in $115 million Perth-based civil and resources sector contractor SRG, $319 million payments company Zip Co, $383 million in-data centre network provider Megaport and $520 million active agricultural real estate investor Rural Funds Group.

Lennox Capital co-manager Liam Donohue says the average size of stocks is $350 million, while the average in its small-caps fund — which is up 26.4 per cent net of fees since inception last April — and Australia’s small ordinaries index is closer to $1.4 billion.

So how will this affect you going forward?

More volatility, more opportunities

You might think more experts in small-caps and microcaps are a bad thing. They’ll be the first to snap up all the opportunities hiding on the ASX.

But even professional money managers aren’t always rational. That’s why I believe more money in the small end of the market might increase volatility, presenting investment opportunities for individual investors like you.

For the technically savvy, this might provide momentum opportunities.

For those who are value orientated, this could give you a chance to pick up heavily discounted microcaps — like Buffett did back in the day.

Of course, there are risks when you venture into small-caps.

But it might be one way to take advantage of volatility as more money pumps into the smaller end of the market.

Kind regards,

Harje Ronngard,
For Markets & Money

PS: Our small-cap expert Sam Volkering believes he’s found incredibly cheap stocks in the hyper-growth industry of medicinal cannabis. Find out which stocks Sam believes will surge higher in the months ahead here.


Harje Ronngard is a Junior Analyst at Markets and Money. With an academic background in finance and investments, Harje knows how simple, yet difficult investing can be. He has worked with a range of assets classes, from futures to equities. But he’s found his niche in equity valuation. It’s not good enough to be right on average when it comes to investing. The market is volatile and it only takes one bad day to ruin your portfolio. You don’t want to end up like the six foot man that drowned in the river that was five foot deep on average. It’s why Harje is constantly reminding investors of their downside risk here at Markets and Money. He does so by simply asking just two questions.  What is it worth? And how much does it cost? These two questions alone open up a world of investment opportunities which Harje shares with Markets and Money readers. Right now Harje is focused on managing research and investments over at the Legacy Portfolio. An investment publication designed to significantly grow investor’s wealth over time with deeply undervalued businesses. Harje also contributes his insights in Total Income, headed by income specialist Matt Hibbard. Harje loves cash-rich businesses, so he feels right at home amongst Matt’s high yielding income plays.


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Markets and Money