Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are at a critical point.
On Sunday, bitcoin hit new intraday lows of $5,782, falling below the previous lows of $5,968 on 6 February.
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The first crash happened over five days, dropping down to $10,876 (first point after the peak). Bitcoin was down 45.3% from the all-time intraday highs of $19,871 on 17 December, 2017.
In a more typical five to six-year stock bubble, the first crash averages 42% in 2.6 months. But this bubble was the most extreme in history, even topping the infamous tulip bubble of 1636. It took only 7.7 months to build from its bubble origin of around $1,339 on April 27, 2017 (first point on chart).
That’s a 14.8 times rise!
The first intraday low overall hit just 1.4 months later at $5,968 on 6 February, 2018 (second point after the peak).
That was a crash of 70% from the intraday high.
The low on Sunday beat out that low by almost 200 points, and is bouncing today (25 June) up to over 6,300 so far.
Should Bitcoin investors be concerned?
If bitcoin cannot hold near these recent lows of $5,782, it could be ominous in the weeks ahead!
Now, look at the support levels from the bubble on the way up. I quote these on closing numbers, not intraday, as that is more typical for that type of analysis.
The first one is at $5,878 on 12 November, 2017. We’re in the process of testing that level. Intraday numbers have already breached that level. If bitcoin closes further below there, it would be more dangerous.
If that’s broken, the next support level would come down around $3,243, the low on 14 September, 2017. That would be down 83.2% from the closing all-time high of $19,345.
The next support level comes in at $1,975 on July 15, 2017. That would be a crash of 89.8% from the high…real bubble crash territory…
If it goes that far, it’s likely to go all the way back to the bubble origin of around $1,333 on April 27, 2017, with a 93.1% crash. That’s comparable to the dot-com bubble from 1999 into early 2000 — and the tulip bubble as well.
The dot-com bubble had a similar crash after a very sharp and quick buildup — which went on to see a 16-year bull market, along with another great bubble from early 2009 into 2018 (so far).
This isn’t the end of the broader blockchain technology movement…but it is the end of the first sharp bubble…
Battle of the Titans: Who wins when bitcoin and gold head-to-head…and how can you profit? Find out more here.
Editor, Harry Dent Daily