What Should You Do When Economic Uncertainty Builds

Australian economy news

Nearly a decade after the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression, economic spirits are reviving,’ writes Bruce Stokes in his Pew Research Report ‘Global Publics More Upbeat About the Economy’.

Many Europeans, Japanese and Americans feel better today about their economies than they did before the financial crisis. More broadly, in 11 of 18 countries from across the globe that were surveyed in both 2016 and 2017, publics feel more positive about their economy than they did a year ago.

Take a look at the graph below. It shows the percentage of people in each nation who believes the current state of their economy is good:

national economies

Source: Pew Research Centre

I can understand India’s upbeat attitude towards their fast growing economy. But I have no idea what the public in Germany or Sweden have to be happy about. Not only are exports declining in Germany and taxes extremely high in Sweden, both countries have struggled to grow their economies. Germany and Sweden have cut interest rates to their lowest levels ever. In Sweden’s case, interest rates are negative.

And yet cheap money has done almost nothing for economic growth. Both nations are struggling to grow their economies by more than 2% annually, as shown below:

national economies

Source: Trading Economics

The Aussie Recession Survival Guide: How to protect your wealth in a fast-shrinking economy

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Australian Economy Problems

Our situation in Australia isn’t all that bad, when compared to Germany or Sweden. However we too, are not without our problems.

On 6 September, the Aussie economy got a little stronger. In the third quarter of 2017, the economy grew 0.8%. It was a nice improvement from 0.3% growth, in the previous quarter.

The data seems to support the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) view that the economy will grow close to 3% over the coming years. Yet while the economy got stronger, Aussie households were actually worse off for the quarter.

Households spent more. But they also saved a lot less, without earning significantly more. The nation’s household savings rate fell from 5.3% to 4.6%, for the quarter.

I wouldn’t be surprised if many developed economies continue their growth struggles in the near future. While various nations believe their economies are ‘strong’, those same nations are uncertain about the future. Stokes writes:

A median of just 41% believe that a child in their country today will grow up to be better off financially than their parents.

‘…Publics in advanced economies are quite pessimistic about young people’s financial prospects, just 34% believe they will be better off than the current generation. Such despair is particularly strong in Greece, Japan, France, Australia, Canada, Spain and the UK, where roughly seven-in-ten people say today’s children will be worse off.

generational prospects

Source: Pew Research Centre

I suspect if developed economies continue to plod along at their current rate, uncertainty about the future will only build, causing them to spend less, keeping interest rates low. But even in a low interest rate environment, there are plenty of opportunities. Find out what those opportunities are by clicking here.

Regards,

Härje Ronngard,

Junior Analyst, Markets & Money

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The Aussie Recession Survival Guide: how to protect your wealth in a fast-shrining economy
Markets & Money Free ReportIn this urgent investor report, Markets and Money editor Vern Gowdie shows you why Australia is poised to fall into its first ‘official’ recession in 25 years…

You’ll learn:

  • What Central Bank Rate-Slashers Don’t Want You to Know: Has the Reserve Bank’s rate-slashing obsession really helped stimulate the Australian economy? Or has the incredible amount of ‘cheap money’ up for grabs simply dug a deeper economic hole? You’ll find out in Vern’s report…
  • Revealed: Australia’s 25 Year ‘Bulletproof Economy’ Fraud: Politicians have long talked up Australia’s apparent economic strength. You’ve been told we haven’t seen negative growth since 1991. But is Australia’s 25-year economic ‘golden run’ true? Has our economy really grown non-stop for a quarter century? You’ll be shocked by Vern’s findings…
  • Australian Government’s $1 Trillion ‘Black Hole’: The Aussie government ‘borrowing spree’ pushed foreign debt up $2 trillion in the last 15 years. Net debt (the money we owe foreign countries) stands at $1 trillion. What does this debt ‘black hole’ mean for the economy, your livelihood and the future of your family? Vern paints a bleak picture…

To download your free report ‘The Aussie Recession Survival Guide: How to protect your wealth in a fast-shrinking economy’ simply subscribe to Markets and Money for FREE today. Enter your email in the box below and click ‘Send My Free Report’.

We will collect and handle your personal information in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

You can cancel your subscription at any time.

Härje Ronngard

Härje Ronngard

Harje Ronngard is a Junior Analyst at Markets and Money.

With an academic background in finance and investments, Harje knows how simple, yet difficult investing can be. He has worked with a range of assets classes, from futures to equities. But he’s found his niche in equity valuation.  

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